Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000028 0.000030 0.000032 0.000035 0.000038 0.000042 0.000046
2026-02-08 0.000023 0.000026 0.000030 0.000034 0.000039 0.000044 0.000051
2026-02-15 0.000021 0.000025 0.000029 0.000034 0.000040 0.000047 0.000056
2026-02-22 0.000019 0.000023 0.000027 0.000033 0.000040 0.000049 0.000060
2026-03-01 0.000017 0.000021 0.000026 0.000032 0.000039 0.000049 0.000062
2026-03-08 0.000016 0.000019 0.000024 0.000030 0.000038 0.000049 0.000063
2026-03-15 0.000015 0.000018 0.000023 0.000029 0.000038 0.000049 0.000065
2026-03-22 0.000013 0.000017 0.000022 0.000028 0.000037 0.000049 0.000066
2026-03-29 0.000013 0.000016 0.000021 0.000028 0.000037 0.000050 0.000069
2026-04-05 0.000012 0.000016 0.000021 0.000028 0.000038 0.000052 0.000074
2026-04-12 0.000012 0.000016 0.000021 0.000028 0.000039 0.000055 0.000079
2026-04-19 0.000012 0.000017 0.000023 0.000031 0.000044 0.000063 0.000093
2026-04-26 0.000011 0.000016 0.000021 0.000030 0.000043 0.000062 0.000094
2026-05-03 0.000011 0.000015 0.000020 0.000029 0.000042 0.000062 0.000096
2026-05-10 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000029 0.000043 0.000064 0.000100
2026-05-17 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019 0.000028 0.000042 0.000064 0.000103
2026-05-24 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000027 0.000041 0.000063 0.000104
2026-05-31 0.000008 0.000012 0.000017 0.000026 0.000040 0.000062 0.000104
2026-06-07 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000025 0.000039 0.000062 0.000105
2026-06-14 0.000007 0.000011 0.000016 0.000024 0.000038 0.000062 0.000106
2026-06-21 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000038 0.000062 0.000108
2026-06-28 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000039 0.000065 0.000116
2026-07-05 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000040 0.000068 0.000123